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[Politics] Taiwan's Cross-Strait Negotiation Polls Over the Past Decade: Rejecting the "One China" Premise, Hoping to Maintain the Status Quo
bella@@ 央廣 新聞1d ago
The Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation today (15th) released polls on cross-Strait political negotiations over the past decade. An average of 71.7% of Taiwanese people supported cross-Strait political negotiations, but more than half consistently rejected the "One China Principle" negotiation conditions proposed by the CCP. "Maintaining the status quo" is the negotiation outcome most desired by the Taiwanese people. Experts and scholars point out that this shows Taiwanese public opinion expects to seek peace under highly uncertain conditions and hopes the international community will understand Taiwan better, rather than just asking if Taiwan wants unification or independence. #RTI Reporter Chen Nien-yi reporting# With the "Zheng-Xi meeting" and "Trump-Xi meeting" concluded one after another, the issue of cross-Strait political negotiations has once again garnered attention. The Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation held a seminar titled "Must Cross-Strait Ultimately Go to War, or Ultimately Be Discussed?" today, releasing the results of 9 polls on cross-Strait political negotiations conducted from 2015 to the present. Regarding whether Taiwanese people support cross-Strait political negotiations, the polls show that over 60% of respondents have consistently supported negotiations, and "maintaining the status quo" has always been the negotiation outcome most desired by the Taiwanese people.
Regarding whether Taiwanese people support cross-Strait political negotiations, polls show that since 2015, over 60% of respondents have consistently supported negotiations. (Photo: Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation)
Hong Yao-nan, Director of the Cross-Strait Relations Research Center at Tamkang University, analyzed that this represents a "coexistence of adversaries" institutional commitment that the Taiwanese people most desire, expecting to seek peace and non-aggression under the premise of "maintaining the status quo" or "not entering a unification framework." He said: "(Original sound) Observing from the past 10 years, maintaining the status quo is quite evident. (The proportion of respondents choosing 'maintain the status quo') still totals 44.3%, making it the largest category. 'Recognizing Taiwan as a country and establishing diplomatic relations' is 27%, and 'Recognizing Taiwan as a country, with peaceful non-aggression between the two sides but no diplomatic relations' is 15.9%. In contrast, cross-Strait unification and cross-Strait integration (e.g., EU, Commonwealth, Greater China framework) total only 7.3%. Therefore, Taiwan's negotiations are about maintaining the status quo, Taiwan's sovereignty, and discussing the Republic of China, which is quite different from China's so-called discussion of unification. I think this gap is quite large."
Regarding whether Taiwanese people accept the "One China Principle" negotiation conditions proposed by the CCP, the latest survey this year shows that 58% of Taiwanese people stated they do not accept it, while only 25.8% expressed acceptance. As for the timing of negotiations, 31.5% of respondents hope negotiations will begin as soon as possible, and 29.4% believe the later the better. However, 18.4% of people indicated it's uncertain or depends on the situation, a proportion that has risen to its highest level in recent years. Hong Yao-nan believes this indicates that people's judgment on the timing of negotiations is becoming increasingly uncertain, but this is not simply opposition to negotiations, but rather a tendency to retain flexibility.
Regarding whether Taiwanese people accept the "One China Principle" negotiation conditions proposed by the CCP, the latest survey this year shows that 58% of Taiwanese people stated they do not accept it, while only 25.8% expressed acceptance. (Photo: Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation)
Hong Yao-nan pointed out that if the CCP expects to use pressure to make Taiwanese people lean towards unification or integration, this long-term poll shows that the expected effect has not materialized. Instead, it has made Taiwanese people more inclined to maintain the status quo, reduce commitments, and postpone judgment. He also stated that Taiwanese public opinion hopes to seek choices that preserve peace, democracy, and autonomy in a highly uncertain and high-risk environment, and hopes the international community will understand Taiwan better, rather than constantly asking if Taiwan wants unification or independence.
Polls on cross-Strait political negotiations conducted 9 times since 2015 show that "maintaining the status quo" has always been the negotiation outcome most desired by the Taiwanese people. (Photo: Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation)
The Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation stated that the National Taiwan University's Research Center for Chinese Mainland Studies had conducted 8 "Cross-Strait Political Negotiation" public opinion surveys from 2015 to 2023. Starting this year, the Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation took over, commissioning the Yuqing Polling Center to conduct the surveys. To ensure regional representation conforms to the national population structure, this poll used landline surveys targeting adults aged 20 and above, with a total of 1,068 valid samples. At a 95% confidence level, the sampling error is approximately plus or minus 3.00 percentage points. (Editor: Hsu Chia-yuan)
Source Link: https://www.rti.org.tw/news?uid=3&pid=214568
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