[Politics] Poll on Most Trusted Cross-Strait Negotiators: Tsai Ing-wen and DPP Lead
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The Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation today (15th) released the results of its public opinion polls on cross-strait political negotiations over the past decade. Regarding which political figure is most trusted to represent Taiwan in negotiations, former President Tsai Ing-wen, with a 25.7% trust rating, far surpassed other political figures. As for political parties, the Taiwanese public is most willing to authorize the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) to conduct cross-strait political negotiations. Experts and scholars analyze that this long-term poll fully demonstrates the wisdom of the Taiwanese people and has established a division of labor between the Kuomintang (KMT) and the DPP on cross-strait issues. #RTI reporter Chen Nien-yi reporting# With the conclusion of the "Zheng-Xi meeting" and the "Trump-Xi meeting," political negotiation issues have once again garnered attention. The Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation held a seminar today titled "Must Cross-Strait End in War, or End in Talk?" releasing the results of 9 cross-strait political negotiation polls conducted since 2015.
Chou Chi-hsiang, a distinguished professor at the CTBC Financial Management College and former vice chairman of the Straits Exchange Foundation (SEF), pointed out that the reason for holding this seminar today is to respond to the "unification without unification" assertion recently published by Zhu Weidong, a Chinese scholar who has studied Taiwan for 40 years. Zhu Weidong claimed that China has firmly grasped the strategic initiative, the initiative in cross-strait relations, and the final decision-making power over the "peaceful or war" approach to unification in the Taiwan issue, and that unification is not far off.
Chou Chi-hsiang said, "When Chinese scholars speak so confidently, must Taiwan just follow their lead?" He believes that Taiwan actually has its own views on who can lead or participate in cross-strait political negotiations and what the bottom line is. Therefore, he hopes this long-term poll can serve as a response, presenting the true Taiwanese public opinion for all parties to consider.
According to the poll, over 60% of the Taiwanese public has consistently agreed to cross-strait political negotiations, and "maintaining the status quo" has always been the negotiation outcome most desired by the Taiwanese public.
Regarding which political figure is more trusted by the Taiwanese public for cross-strait political negotiations, the overall data from the past 10 years of polls shows former President Tsai Ing-wen leading with 25.7%. Former President Ma Ying-jeou ranked second with 9.5%, followed by President Lai Ching-te at 7%. Others include James Soong (5.7%), Ko Wen-je (5.6%), Eric Chu (5.0%), Wang Jin-pyng (4.0%), Han Kuo-yu (4.0%), Terry Gou (2.3%), Huang Kuo-chang (0.8%), Cheng Li-wen (0.7%), Hou Yu-ih (0.6%), and Chiang Wan-an (0.1%). Tsai Hsi-hui, a researcher at the Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation, said: "(Original sound) The political stars in 2015 are very different from now, so we can't list so many people every time. But if the public mentions them, we will write them down. That is to say, Tsai Ing-wen has been mentioned from 2015 until now. As for Chiang Wan-an... when he first became the Mayor of Taipei and held the "Twin Cities Forum," he started to have some discourse on cross-strait issues, or Cheng Li-wen also started recently, so they were not mentioned before... (the poll data shows) 0%, 0%, 0%, and only started to increase now."
The Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation released the results of its public opinion polls on cross-strait political negotiations over the past decade on the 15th. The overall data shows that the Taiwanese public trusts former President Tsai Ing-wen the most as a negotiation representative. (Photo: Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation)
Why is Tsai Ing-wen, even after leaving office, still highly regarded and considered the most trusted cross-strait political negotiator by the Taiwanese public? Tsai Chi-ting, director of the Mainland China Studies Center at National Taiwan University, stated that this is not an isolated case. For example, former U.S. President Jimmy Carter still holds a certain level of prestige after leaving office and often plays a role in political mediation and coordination. Tsai Ing-wen's approval ratings remained high during her tenure. Given her sustained high popularity, it is not surprising that she receives political authorization for cross-strait negotiations. Hung Yao-nan, director of the Cross-Strait Relations Research Center at Tamkang University, also pointed out that Tsai Ing-wen not only served as president but also as chairwoman of the Mainland Affairs Council. The poll results indicate that Taiwanese people recognize Tsai Ing-wen's relevant experience and performance.
As for which political party the Taiwanese public trusts more to represent Taiwan in negotiations with China, the overall data from 10 years of observation shows the DPP is the most favored, with 32% of respondents supporting it. The KMT ranked second with 24.8%, while the trust rating for other parties was less than 5%. Hung Yao-nan analyzed that this shows the Taiwanese people have established a division of labor between the KMT and the DPP on cross-strait issues: the KMT is responsible for creating space in cross-strait exchanges, and the negotiation work is handed over to the DPP, which is perceived as more capable of upholding bottom lines. He believes this long-term poll fully demonstrates the wisdom of the Taiwanese people and their smart choices.
The Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation stated that the National Taiwan University's Mainland China Studies Center conducted 8 "Cross-Strait Political Negotiation" public opinion surveys from 2015 to 2023. Starting this year, the Taoyuan City National Development Education Foundation took over, commissioning the Yuqing Polling Center to conduct the surveys. To ensure regional representation aligns with the national population structure, this poll used landline interviews. The対象 were adults aged 20 and above, with a total of 1,068 valid samples. At a 95% confidence level, the sampling error is approximately plus or minus 3.00 percentage points. (Editor: Shen Chen-chiang)
Source Link: https://www.rti.org.tw/news?uid=3&pid=214630
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